When is a clue worth its points?

A quick calculation shows when opening a clue pays off and when it does not.

Balance scales weigh a clue card on one side against gold coins on the other

In Detailed mode, each clue that you open costs part of your 20 clue points. Is it ever worth it? Let us do the math.

The cost

A home with three clues: each clue costs 20 / 3, which is about 6.7 points. A home with more clues makes each clue cheaper. With five clues, each one costs 4 points.

The possible gain

The price part gives 30 points multiplied by your accuracy. So each percentage point of accuracy is worth 0.3 points.

To win back 6.7 points, a clue must make your guess better by about 22 percentage points. For example, from 30 % off to 8 % off. To win back 4 points, it must make your guess better by about 13 percentage points.

When that happens

  • When you cannot tell the size from the photos. A flat of 35 m² and a flat of 70 m² can look alike in close-up photos.
  • When the age changes everything. A new building and a building from the 1960s in the same area can have very different prices.

When it does not

  • When the photos show the size well.
  • When you know the area and the type of building.
  • When your guess is already close. A clue cannot improve a guess that is 5 % off by 22 points.

The rule of thumb

Open a clue only if you think it could change your guess by a quarter or more.

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